--- title: Seasonal malaria chemoprevention summary: Monthly courses of antimalarial medicine given to young children through the peak malaria season, in places where malaria is highly seasonal. depth: 2 evidence: strong mechanism: Each monthly round gives a child a curative dose of antimalarial medicine, which clears parasites and protects the child for roughly the next four weeks. Repeating it through the high-transmission months covers the period of greatest risk. causes: [global-health] timeToEffect: immediate durability: while funded feedback: some agency: top-down cost: outcome: death averted (GiveWell’s modeled range for the places where it funds SMC) low: 2000 high: 7000 asOf: December 2023 cost-effectiveness analysis source: title: Seasonal Malaria Chemoprevention publisher: GiveWell year: 2024 url: https://www.givewell.org/international/technical/programs/seasonal-malaria-chemoprevention note: The range varies by location. It depends on local malaria death rates and on how likely other funders were to pay for the same campaigns. It is a model, not a measured result. conditions: [measurement-gap, fragmentation] sources: - title: Intermittent preventive treatment for malaria in children living in areas with seasonal transmission (Cochrane systematic review) publisher: Meremikwu, Donegan, Sinclair, Esu and Oringanje, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews year: 2012 url: https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD003756.pub4 - title: 'Effectiveness of seasonal malaria chemoprevention at scale in west and central Africa: an observational study' publisher: ACCESS-SMC Partnership, The Lancet 396(10265) year: 2020 url: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7718580/ - title: Seasonal Malaria Chemoprevention publisher: GiveWell year: 2024 url: https://www.givewell.org/international/technical/programs/seasonal-malaria-chemoprevention - title: Updated WHO recommendations for malaria chemoprevention among children and pregnant women publisher: World Health Organization year: 2022 url: https://www.who.int/news/item/03-06-2022-Updated-WHO-recommendations-for-malaria-chemoprevention-among-children-and-pregnant-women - title: Improving implementation of seasonal malaria chemoprevention publisher: WHO Special Programme for Research and Training in Tropical Diseases (TDR) year: 2023 url: https://tdr.who.int/newsroom/news/item/09-06-2023-improving-implementation-of-seasonal-malaria-chemoprevention --- ## What the evidence says Seasonal malaria chemoprevention (SMC) is well tested. A 2012 Cochrane review pooled seven trials with 12,589 participants, all in West Africa. Giving young children antimalarial drugs through the transmission season prevented about three quarters of clinical malaria episodes (rate ratio 0.26) and a similar share of severe malaria. The reviewers rated both findings high-quality evidence. The trials were too small to settle the effect on deaths: the estimate pointed to fewer deaths, but its confidence interval included no effect. The most-studied drug pair, amodiaquine plus sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine, made vomiting more common. Delivery at scale has been measured too. The ACCESS-SMC project gave about 12.5 million monthly treatments in 2015 and 25.1 million in 2016 across seven countries. Case-control studies found 88 percent protection in the 28 days after a treatment. Confirmed outpatient malaria cases fell by between about 25 percent (Nigeria) and 55 percent (The Gambia) in high-transmission periods, and hospital malaria deaths fell by 42 percent in Burkina Faso and 57 percent in The Gambia. Coverage was imperfect: only 53 to 55 percent of eligible children received all four monthly rounds. Four rounds cost about $3.63 per child. GiveWell describes a large real-world study that found case reductions of about 25 to 55 percent, smaller than in the trials, and it still treats the trial results as the better guide. In 2022 WHO widened its recommendation. SMC is no longer limited to the Sahel or to children under 6, and the number of monthly rounds is no longer capped at four. In 2021, programs reached roughly 45 million children in 15 African countries. ## Where it sits on the depth scale SMC is **prevention** (depth 2). It stops malaria in the children who receive it, but protection fades within about a month, so campaigns have to return every season. It doesn’t change the conditions that let malaria persist, such as mosquito habitats or weak health systems. In that way it resembles [bed nets](/record/interventions/insecticide-treated-nets/): it saves lives now, and the benefit lasts only as long as the funding. ## Open questions - What a new dollar achieves depends on whether another funder would have paid for the same campaign. GiveWell puts that chance at 10 to 65 percent, depending on location. That is one form of [the counterfactual problem](/open-problems/the-counterfactual-problem/). - ACCESS-SMC found drug-resistance markers at low levels but saw selection for one linked to sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine resistance, which needs monitoring. GiveWell says it has not reviewed resistance data since 2020. - Malaria vaccines are being rolled out. GiveWell notes this could make SMC either more or less cost-effective.