Research history

Current published edition

The Payout Question

As recorded by . This is a dated public record of drafts, changes, sources and review declarations. A page, checksum or merged pull request does not establish a scientific result or independent review.

Edition
edition:2026-10-27-initial
Edition checksum
63af9ab52aa86652f81ea1fac0b7c40aaad46cd8623865918d41ec347f9b2cd3
Projection checksum
08a373e3b85d7ed44d36bc472444b5773f7cbd1dde11f60e0053b3ba4884b65c
Period
inclusive to exclusive.
Starting baseline
Unknown before the recorded capture. Present states are not backdated to January.

JSON retains the complete pinned edition. CSV covers every recorded event in this edition; view filters do not change either download.

Recorded activity and qualification

  • 43Stable records
  • 45Subject versions
  • 43Recorded events
  • 0Review declarations
  • 0Subjects with qualifying source review
  • 0Peer-reviewed manuscripts
  • 0Qualifying research results
  • 1Editorial correction artifacts
  • 2Changed claim subjects
  • 23Open problems
  • 0Partially resolved problems
  • 0Solved problems
  • 0Problems under review
  • 0Unresolved challenges

Qualification follows the exact recorded public declarations. The ledger cannot establish identity, independence, source reading or truth by itself. Editorial corrections, proposed methods and software checks are separate from qualifying research results.

Coverage and limits

40 source entries are covered by this edition. Claim-level records cover only their selected wording and context; they do not qualify a whole manuscript. Source-derived case labels describe the published summaries, not Charitology fieldwork or charity ratings.

Entry links open the present site. The separate pinned source text retains this edition’s exact archived bytes.

The Payout Question · Research problem · version 1
Source review: draftProblem: open

problem:the-payout-question

Effective problem state
open
Last recorded state
open
Current support
baseline
Last recorded disposition
No scientific disposition is recorded.

Qualification follows the exact recorded public declarations. The ledger cannot establish identity, independence, source reading or truth by itself.

Versions and exact subjects

Version entries 1–1

Version 1: The Payout Question

Current subject in this edition

Subject checksum
0953cea7cff9cb26de0438e2c6b807fea24bf5d0c7bb8ac3857cf38f2e08d32e
Version checksum
3dadb33b9aba113332981d1b22b4fca82491c3c0310f42b10c71090d798a23f3
Authorship declaration
unknown; completeness unknown.
bounty
Unfunded. The Question Bounties program will attach prizes once it is funded.
conditions
[
  {
    "collection": "conditions",
    "id": "parked-money"
  },
  {
    "collection": "conditions",
    "id": "short-horizon"
  }
]
number
12
progress
A model that ties the payout rate to measurable inputs, such as investment returns, how fast the best opportunities are used up and discount rates, and gives ranges a funder can act on.
statement
What is the best rate to spend philanthropic money now versus later?
Exact archived Markdown body

Inert source text, including its original formatting. It is not executed as page markup.

## Why it matters

The Annual DAF Report 2025 estimated about $326 billion in donor-advised fund assets in 2024. Whether assets should be spent sooner is a substantial allocation question; the asset total alone cannot answer it. See [Parked Money](/diagnosis/parked-money/).

## Where to start

Economists have written “give now or give later” models. The open problem is grounding them in real data on how the cost of doing good changes over time.
Pinned source capture
Exact version fields and declaration references
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  "subject": {
    "body": "\n## Why it matters\n\nThe Annual DAF Report 2025 estimated about $326 billion in donor-advised fund assets in 2024. Whether assets should be spent sooner is a substantial allocation question; the asset total alone cannot answer it. See [Parked Money](/diagnosis/parked-money/).\n\n## Where to start\n\nEconomists have written “give now or give later” models. The open problem is grounding them in real data on how the cost of doing good changes over time.\n",
    "collection": "problems",
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      "conditions": [
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          "id": "parked-money"
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        {
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      "sources": [],
      "statement": "What is the best rate to spend philanthropic money now versus later?",
      "title": "The Payout Question"
    },
    "type": "entry"
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  "subjectHash": "0953cea7cff9cb26de0438e2c6b807fea24bf5d0c7bb8ac3857cf38f2e08d32e",
  "version": 1
}

Timeline in recorded order

Public occurrence time and ledger recording time are different. A coverage baseline records what was present at capture; it does not invent an earlier history.

Events 1–1

Coverage baseline

Recorded order
34; sequence 1 for this record.
Public occurrence
Undated / no earlier occurrence asserted · undated
Recorded in ledger

Initial capture of current source wording; no earlier independent review or historical event time is asserted.

Observed baseline: version 1; problem open.

Exact event fields
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Review declarations

No public review declaration is recorded for this subject in this edition.

Dated public metadata observations

These observations record only the displayed metadata at inspection. A merge, closed issue or empty review list does not establish research or independent review.

github-pull-request · 2026-10-27T08:20:16.587Z

Observed public object

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  "mergedAt": "2026-10-27T08:10:57.000Z",
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github-pull-request · 2026-10-27T08:20:16.587Z

Observed public object

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github-review-list · 2026-10-27T08:20:16.587Z

Observed public object

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3b7b719dbdd25b9937ba6c640f7234921611db30818b5675db41b9fa3534d926

github-issue · 2026-10-27T08:20:16.587Z

Observed public object

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