Research history

Current published edition

The Replication Rate

As recorded by 2026-10-27T08:31:31.000Z. This is a dated public record of drafts, changes, sources and review declarations. A page, checksum or merged pull request does not establish a scientific result or independent review.

Edition: edition:2026-10-27-initial
Edition checksum: 63af9ab52aa86652f81ea1fac0b7c40aaad46cd8623865918d41ec347f9b2cd3
Projection checksum: 08a373e3b85d7ed44d36bc472444b5773f7cbd1dde11f60e0053b3ba4884b65c
Period: 2026-01-01T00:00:00.000Z inclusive to 2026-10-27T08:31:31.000Z exclusive.
Starting baseline: Unknown before the recorded capture. Present states are not backdated to January.

JSON retains the complete pinned edition. CSV covers every recorded event in this edition; view filters do not change either download.

Recorded activity and qualification

43Stable records
45Subject versions
43Recorded events
0Review declarations
0Subjects with qualifying source review
0Peer-reviewed manuscripts
0Qualifying research results
1Editorial correction artifacts
2Changed claim subjects
23Open problems
0Partially resolved problems
0Solved problems
0Problems under review
0Unresolved challenges

Qualification follows the exact recorded public declarations. The ledger cannot establish identity, independence, source reading or truth by itself. Editorial corrections, proposed methods and software checks are separate from qualifying research results.

Coverage and limits

40 source entries are covered by this edition. Claim-level records cover only their selected wording and context; they do not qualify a whole manuscript. Source-derived case labels describe the published summaries, not Charitology fieldwork or charity ratings.

This initial capture establishes current draft coverage, not a known January baseline or an earlier status history.
The one PR-backed artifact is an editorial correction to two claim subjects; it is not a scientific result, independent review or problem resolution.
Source-derived case descriptions and manuscript bylines do not establish performed Charitology fieldwork or documented complete human authorship.
Public GitHub observations describe only the named objects at their recorded inspection time. An empty returned review list is not proof about reviews elsewhere.

Entry links open the present site. The separate pinned source text retains this edition’s exact archived bytes.

The Replication Rate · Research problem · version 1

Source review: draftProblem: open

problem:the-replication-rate

No current qualifying whole-entry source/framing review is recorded.

Effective problem state: open
Last recorded state: open
Current support: baseline
Last recorded disposition: No scientific disposition is recorded.

Qualification follows the exact recorded public declarations. The ledger cannot establish identity, independence, source reading or truth by itself.

Versions and exact subjects

Version entries 1–1

Version 1: The Replication Rate

Current subject in this edition

Subject checksum: 22e313fa3bf8aeb4c22448662a5fd4f76c09a4545fa0b6d0354e1234b2c0d669
Version checksum: 2bfd6c82b2e6d78ae4a82ab51968dc62eb01c45f6e93d3910a2d8289ce05e0cc
Authorship declaration: unknown; completeness unknown.

bounty

Unfunded. The Question Bounties program will attach prizes once it is funded.

conditions

[
  {
    "collection": "conditions",
    "id": "silence-about-failure"
  },
  {
    "collection": "conditions",
    "id": "measurement-gap"
  }
]

number

progress

A systematic replication project covering a defined set of influential findings, publishing the rate with confidence bounds.

statement

What share of headline charity impact findings replicate when they are tested again?

Exact archived Markdown body

Inert source text, including its original formatting. It is not executed as page markup.

## Why it matters

The [Replication Program](/programs/replication-program/) describes published checks in psychology and deworming research. Charitology has not established an equivalent sector-wide rate for charity impact findings. Donors deserve to know how much to trust a headline.

## Where to start

Choose a fixed list of widely cited findings, pre-register the replication plan and publish everything, including findings that replicate. See the [Replication Program](/programs/replication-program/).

Pinned source capture

src/content/problems/the-replication-rate.md · whole entry
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Exact version fields and declaration references

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      "progress": "A systematic replication project covering a defined set of influential findings, publishing the rate with confidence bounds.",
      "sources": [],
      "statement": "What share of headline charity impact findings replicate when they are tested again?",
      "title": "The Replication Rate"
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  "version": 1
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Timeline in recorded order

Public occurrence time and ledger recording time are different. A coverage baseline records what was present at capture; it does not invent an earlier history.

Events 1–1

Coverage baseline

Recorded order: 37; sequence 1 for this record.
Public occurrence: Undated / no earlier occurrence asserted · undated
Recorded in ledger: 2026-10-27T08:31:31.000Z

Initial capture of current source wording; no earlier independent review or historical event time is asserted.

Observed baseline: version 1; problem open.

Exact event fields

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Review declarations

No public review declaration is recorded for this subject in this edition.

Dated public metadata observations

These observations record only the displayed metadata at inspection. A merge, closed issue or empty review list does not establish research or independent review.

github-pull-request · 2026-10-27T08:20:16.587Z

Observed public object

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  "mergedAt": "2026-10-27T08:10:57.000Z",
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github-pull-request · 2026-10-27T08:20:16.587Z

Observed public object

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github-review-list · 2026-10-27T08:20:16.587Z

Observed public object

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3b7b719dbdd25b9937ba6c640f7234921611db30818b5675db41b9fa3534d926

github-issue · 2026-10-27T08:20:16.587Z

Observed public object

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